More Kanban Calculations

Kanban Card

First listed various formulations of calculating kanban quantities in July 2006.  Here are a few more …

9.  wmarhel at Elsmar Cove writes …

The formula for calculating the number of kanban cards in a system for a particular product is:

(Daily Demand x (Run Frequency + Lead Time + Safety Time)) / Container Capacity

Where:

Daily Demand = Customer Consumption expressed as # of units
Run Frequency = Frequency which you decide to set-up and produce that item. This is expressed as a unit of time. For a five day work week, running the product every day would equal (1), every third day would equal (3), etc.
Lead Time = Manufacturing lead time (processing time + Set-up time + queue time) + lead time for kanban retrieval expressed as a unit of time.
Safety Time = Allowance for variations in demand and supply, also expressed as a unit of time. Keep as low as possible.
Container Capacity = Number of units per container (# of units in a container is always the same number).

10.  World Class Manufacturing has an on-line Kanban Size Calculator that uses the following formula:

Total Required Inventory (TRI) = Weekly Part Usage * Lead-time * Number of locations for stock
# Kanban = TRI / Container Capacity

11.  Oracle uses

By default, the standard calculation is:

(C – 1) * S = D * L

where:

  • C is the number of kanban cards
  • S is the kanban size
  • D is the average daily demand
  • L is the lead time (in days) to replenish one kanban

 

12.  SAP says …

K = ((RT * AC)/CONT) * (SF + C)

where

  • K          numbers of Kanban
  • CONT  contents per Kanban
  • RT        replenishment lead time per Kanban
  • AC        average consumption per time
  • SF        safety factor
  • C          constant (default 1)

 

 

 

Entropy and the death of peaceful order

Had dinner last night with Richard Zuber, Lean Six Sigma Master Black Belt at Honeywell.  He was a student of mine some years ago at AlliedSignal before the Honeywell merger.  Richard posed a question as to why so many organizations that have mastered demand smoothing and flow eventually revert back to month end madness, chaos and noise.  He’s seen good applications of heijunka and demand segmentation fail.  Why?

 

 

 

Continue reading Entropy and the death of peaceful order    

Cutting off the tail

 

TailRunning out of room?  Consolidating operations?  Relocating to a new location?  Need to liberate some cash?  It’s time to purge your warehouse!  When looking at all the stuff that’s accumulated in your warehouse over the years you’ll often find orphans, cripples, mistakes, bad dreams lurking in the far reaches of the racks and tucked away in the back corners.  Where to start?  You can use the white glove test – the thicker the dust on the case the more likely you can do with out it.  Or look to see how many physical inventory tags are on the box – more than two, then throw it out!

Excess and Slow Moving inventory is defined as the quantity above a specific need such as beyond a certain time period of demand or days of supply.  Excess can also be determined as inventory beyond current safety stock level plus lot size (order quantity).  Excess inventory is almost always a result of poor stck demand management.  Excess stock can result from over delivery from a supplier, but morelikely bad ordering and demand management.  It’s easy to blame the buyer, but buyers rarely create the sales forecast, maintain the sales orders, set the performance metrics, or the service policies.

A common analysis is to rank sort the parts by their recent sales as shown in the graph here.  Where to attack?  Head for the Tail is a common approach.  If it’s not selling let’s dump it, goes the conventional thinking.

ABC Analysis can be misleading; some times the tail has pearls, or at least consequences if you blindly purge.

Some things you’ll find in the Tail:

  1. Lifetime Buy – part, material, component is going out of production and you need time to find substitutes.  Common these days with RoHS and electronic parts.
  2. Brand New parts – don’t have any sales yet obviously.
  3. Seasonal "Murphy" Stock – winter is coming and a key supplier is on the other side of the Rocky Mountains.
  4. Economic Order Quantity, often abused, but can be a good business decision.
  5. Supplier order volume deep Discount – a really sweet deal, see EOQ.
  6. Commodity price hedging – if you are a commodity buyer you know what I mean.  Example copper prices in 2006 and 2007:

 

10 Things you can do to reduce inventory now

Things you can do to free up some cash right now:

  1. Adjust safety stock
  2. Reduce safety lead time
  3. Cut PO quantities in half and double the number of receipts
  4. Implement supplier kanban (its not that hard)
  5. Rebalance your A, B, C items and cut back on the C’s
  6. Put Purchasing on a strict diet – limit monthly spend to 1/10 of the annual plan
  7. Revise the annual plan to reflect current reality
  8. Suppliers are hungry, so lock in shorter lead times
  9. Liquidate your slow moving stock: have a Sale
  10. Reduce production lot sizes

 

 

Kanban Simulation

Table top simulations are always a great training aid, and a debugging tool too.  Despite careful instruction and process design reviews misconceptions can be hard to uncover until during implementation.  So I always make it a habit to run a role playing simulation with the team.  Here take a look.